Recent Swings
Updated: 1 minute ago • Threshold: ≥5%
Tag Filter:
| Market | Δ Prob | Conf | Ticker | Trade Idea | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? AGG (3) |
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+27.7%
|
100% | $SPY | High probability of future Fed rate cuts suggests broad multiple expansion across cyclical and growth sectors. | 3 hours ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? AGG (2) |
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-35.8%
|
89% | $QQQ | The rapid decline in rate cut probability indicates fading macro support for high-growth names, increasing risk of a tech correction. | 1 hour ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? AGG (6) |
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-2.3%
|
66% | $QQQ | Despite short-term probability dips, underlying crypto demand is driven by institutional capital influx and strong tech sector growth. Betting on persistent risk-on sentiment. | 26 minutes ago |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs K27 (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A |
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-99.7%
|
45% | $NFLX | Prediction market swings based on niche events reflect narrative volatility. Betting short on consumer entertainment assets during periods of high hype decay (as suggested by the steep price drop) is prudent. | 4 hours ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on October 26? AGG (5) |
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-86.7%
|
45% | $SPY | The strong positive swing on Ethereum indicates heightened risk-on sentiment and increased appetite for alternative, high-beta assets, suggesting broad capital inflow into the equity markets. | 11 hours ago |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 26? AGG (2) |
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-92.1%
|
41% | $SPY | Significant speculative buying driven by strong bullish momentum suggests continued broad market risk-on sentiment and index strength. | 19 hours ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026? |
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+178.9%
|
40% | $GOOGL | Strong market conviction regarding Google's continued leadership and aggressive AI product roadmap (Gemini), anticipating positive revenue boosts and valuation re-rating. | 11 hours ago |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $296 in November? |
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+111.6%
|
40% | $QQQ | Aggressive market positioning on mega-cap growth names (AMZN). Momentum suggests continued outperformance in large tech index leaders. | 7 hours ago |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in November? |
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+111.4%
|
40% | $NVDA | The rapid decline in the 'HIGH' probability suggests a capitulation dip. Despite short-term weakness, the fundamental AI demand thesis remains intact, presenting a buying opportunity. | 7 hours ago |
| Will Boeing (BA) beat quarterly earnings? |
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-99.8%
|
40% | $XLI | The massive sell-off indicates extreme negative pricing on operational risk within the industrial sector. Shorting XLI allows capturing generalized systemic weakness mirroring concerns inherent to large-scale manufacturing and aerospace. | 3 hours ago |
| Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings? |
↓
-99.9%
|
40% | $XLP | The significant negative swing suggests acute pessimism regarding consumer staples performance and sector overvaluation amidst potential macroeconomic slowdowns or earnings disappointments. | 4 hours ago |
| Counter-Strike: K27 vs FaZe (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A |
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-98.7%
|
40% | $QQQ | The sharp drop reflects over-reaction and hype cycle exhaustion. Betting on a mean reversion bounce in high-growth tech sectors following an extreme negative sentiment swing. | 26 minutes ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on November 1? |
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-97.0%
|
39% | $QQQ | The sharp increase in the probability of ETH dropping below $1,900 signals elevated systemic risk and a potential broad tech/risk-off downturn. | 6 hours ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26? |
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-90.9%
|
39% | $QQQ | The dramatic reversal signals a rapid de-risking environment and a failure of immediate momentum, correlated to risk-off tech exposure. | 23 hours ago |
| Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on October 26? |
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-95.7%
|
38% | $QQQ | The massive negative swing suggests heightened risk-off sentiment in altcoins. This could signal an oversold condition for high-beta growth equities, presenting a short-term mean reversion buying opportunity. | 23 hours ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on October 26? |
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-95.0%
|
38% | $QQQ | The dramatic collapse in probability for a specific price range suggests acute risk-off sentiment stemming from crypto markets, translating to broad de-risking across the tech sector. | 23 hours ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 27? AGG (3) |
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-2.1%
|
36% | $NVDA | High crypto speculation signals generalized risk-on appetite, driving institutional capital into compute infrastructure and AI chip leaders. | 6 minutes ago |
| Will Ares Capital (ARCC) beat quarterly earnings? |
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-90.0%
|
36% | $XLF | The extreme market overreaction (-90% swing) suggests acute fear regarding credit cycles. Contrarian entry is warranted expecting a mean reversion towards cyclical recovery as macro fears abate. | 4 hours ago |
| Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin October 20-26? |
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-90.0%
|
36% | $AAPL | The severe negative swing suggests heightened market caution regarding crypto asset management and general risk appetite, signaling a potential sector rotation into more defensive, stable technology valuations. | 23 hours ago |
| Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A |
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-75.0%
|
35% | $NVDA | The sharp decline in probability suggests significant market disappointment or reduced projected demand/hype cycle risk in the broader compute and gaming sector. | 2 hours ago |
| Will XRP reach $2.40 in October? AGG (2) |
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-67.3%
|
35% | $QQQ | The failed prediction on XRP signals continued speculative risk aversion and potential capital flight from highly volatile crypto assets. The trade setup is a rotational bet on established, resilient mega-cap tech (Nasdaq leadership) that benefits from overall market de-risking. | 1 hour ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 26? AGG (2) |
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-77.2%
|
34% | $QQQ | Strong correlation between BTC cycle peaks and general tech risk-on sentiment (Nasdaq 100). Reversal predicted on positive macro news. | 12 hours ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on October 27? AGG (3) |
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-69.8%
|
34% | $QQQ | The massive swing suggests strong risk-on capital flow and renewed institutional interest in high-growth technology, correlating strongly with the Nasdaq 100. | 6 minutes ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 28? AGG (2) |
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+69.2%
|
34% | $NVDA | Bitcoin's predicted surge reflects strong risk-on sentiment and increasing institutional liquidity, historically correlating with capital flows into high-growth technology sectors. | 26 minutes ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 26? |
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-80.0%
|
33% | $QQQ | The massive negative swing suggests excessive panic selling in risk assets (ETH). Initiating a counter-trend, mean-reversion long trade on the highly correlated technology sector proxy. | 23 hours ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 26? |
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-80.0%
|
32% | $QQQ | The sharp negative swing suggests significant market skepticism or overextension regarding BTC's short-term viability. As crypto moves are highly correlated with risk appetite, this indicates underlying weakness, making a mean-reverting bounce trade in high-beta tech (QQQ) attractive. | 23 hours ago |
| Will the price of Solana be above $120 on October 30? |
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+76.5%
|
31% | $QQQ | High-momentum risk-on capital flow targeting speculative assets like SOL suggests robust continued buying pressure in major growth tech indices. | 1 minute ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on October 27? |
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-75.0%
|
30% | $IVV | The increase in probability for a defined, narrow price range suggests market indecision resolving into consolidation. This stabilization often precedes upward support across major indices. | 1 hour ago |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 Week of October 26 2026? |
↑
+71.1%
|
28% | $AMZN | Extreme market conviction pricing in major acceleration of AWS cloud services and structural e-commerce recovery, driving massive upside momentum. | 2 hours ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October? |
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+66.7%
|
28% | $SPY | Significant crypto price rallies indicate a strong 'risk-on' sentiment and robust institutional liquidity inflows that spill over into major US equity indices. | 1 hour ago |