Recent Swings
Updated: 3 minutes ago • Threshold: ≥5%
Tag Filter:
| Market | Δ Prob | Conf | Ticker | Trade Idea | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? AGG (5) |
↓
-5.2%
|
95% | $QQQ | The highly bearish pricing on future rate cuts suggests sticky/hawkish Fed expectations, which disproportionately hurt growth stocks and tech indices. | 8 minutes ago |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? AGG (3) |
↑
+66.0%
|
81% | $JPM | The market underpricing the probability of Fed dovish pivots. Financial institutions benefit from stable, or slightly easing, funding costs. | 38 minutes ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11? AGG (2) |
↓
-94.8%
|
47% | $NVDA | Extreme market bullishness and momentum captured by high volume suggest strong risk-on capital inflows, favoring AI infrastructure leaders. | 10 hours ago |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of September 7 2026? AGG (4) |
↓
-99.8%
|
46% | $TSLA | Market conviction on Tesla's future valuation driven by autonomous vehicle scale and continued volume growth. | 6 hours ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? |
↓
-6.1%
|
44% | $GLD | The large negative swing at high volume signals broad macro uncertainty and potential systemic risk, which traditionally supports gold as a hedge against sustained liquidity drains. | 10 hours ago |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 7 2026? AGG (3) |
↑
+35.1%
|
44% | $NVDA | Capitalizing on the persistent hyper-growth narrative surrounding specialized hardware and AI computing infrastructure, which continues to drive institutional flow. | 6 hours ago |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of September 7 2026? AGG (3) |
↓
-99.9%
|
44% | $AMZN | The massive prediction swing reflects strong long-term belief in Amazon's cloud (AWS) and AI integration capabilities. | 6 hours ago |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of September 7 2026? AGG (3) |
↓
-99.8%
|
44% | $GOOGL | The market overwhelmingly bet on specific outperformance for GOOGL, implying high confidence in its operational strength and market leadership over the given period. | 6 hours ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 12? AGG (2) |
↑
+237.8%
|
43% | $SPY | Bitcoin's resistance levels being tested correlate with improving general market risk appetite and institutional confidence. | 3 minutes ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 September 7-13? AGG (2) |
↑
+152.5%
|
43% | $QQQ | Ethereum exhibits strong technical momentum and institutional buzz supporting a breakout above key resistance levels. | 13 minutes ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August? AGG (2) |
↓
-99.8%
|
42% | $SPY | Extreme bearish positioning on inflation suggests high probability of dovish Fed policy/rate cuts, which acts as a strong macro tailwind for equities. | 14 hours ago |
| Will Solana reach $150 September 7-13? AGG (2) |
↑
+496.9%
|
42% | $NVDA | The massive implied volatility and bullish sentiment in crypto assets reflect high risk appetite, benefiting pure-play AI infrastructure providers like NVIDIA. | 3 minutes ago |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $308 Week of September 7 2026? AGG (2) |
↓
-99.9%
|
42% | $AAPL | The extreme increase in premium and volume suggests powerful market conviction regarding AAPL's ability to hit high revenue targets driven by Services and future AI integration. | 6 hours ago |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 7 2026? AGG (2) |
↓
-99.9%
|
42% | $MSFT | The massive premium suggests strong near-term confidence in enterprise AI adoption and Azure cloud revenue growth, exceeding consensus estimates. | 6 hours ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 11? |
↑
+17045.5%
|
41% | $NVDA | The massive swing indicates extreme risk-on sentiment and aggressive capital allocation into digital assets. Semiconductors are the primary infrastructure beneficiary of global AI/crypto buildouts. | 10 hours ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 11? |
↓
-97.4%
|
40% | $NVDA | High volume liquidation in altcoins suggests temporary overextension (a mean reversion opportunity). Underlying demand for specialized compute infrastructure, driven by general AI/DeFi utility, remains structurally strong. | 10 hours ago |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on September 11? |
↓
-99.9%
|
40% | $NVDA | Extreme bullish momentum in digital assets and crypto adoption signals strong risk-on sentiment spillover into high-beta AI/growth tech plays. | 10 hours ago |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August? |
↑
+695.6%
|
40% | $XLE | Higher Core CPI expectations signal persistent inflationary pressure and potential 'higher for longer' rate environment, favoring energy commodity producers and cyclical stocks. | 14 hours ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 11? |
↑
+516.7%
|
40% | $MSFT | The massive swing indicates speculative capital flow into decentralized digital infrastructure, favoring major enterprise cloud providers like Microsoft. | 10 hours ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 12? |
↑
+300.0%
|
40% | $QQQ | The extreme decrease in predicted probability suggests high market capitulation/overreaction, positioning for a mean reversion bounce in major tech risk assets. | 38 minutes ago |
| Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? |
↑
+137.9%
|
40% | $NVDA | High search volume and virality signal accelerated digital infrastructure demand and AI hype cycles. | 9 hours ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 17? |
↑
+100.0%
|
40% | $NVDA | Increased risk-on appetite driven by crypto asset gains often spills into high-beta technology proxies like NVDA, signaling stronger liquidity. | 2 hours ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 7 2026? |
↓
-99.9%
|
40% | $SPY | The massive swing and high volume indicate extreme market conviction and overbought momentum. We initiate a directional long trade betting on sustained institutional buying flow despite the inflated pricing. | 6 hours ago |
| Map Handicap: WaR (-1.5) vs Marsborne (+1.5) |
↑
+122.1%
|
40% | $DIS | The high swing suggests intense belief in recreational spending (leisure/tourism), benefiting major experience-based consumer entertainment companies. | 1 hour ago |
| Will XRP reach $1.50 on September 11? |
↑
+502.8%
|
40% | $QQQ | The extreme speculative momentum observed in altcoins like XRP suggests a strong risk-on flow. $QQQ captures broad exposure to high-beta tech growth, making it the optimal proxy for this macro sentiment shift. | 2 hours ago |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $930 Week of September 7 2026? |
↓
-99.9%
|
40% | $MU | The large negative swing reflects bearish sell-side concerns regarding memory inventory cycles and potential cyclical downturns in the semiconductor industry. | 6 hours ago |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 Week of September 7 2026? |
↓
-99.5%
|
40% | $META | The drastic probability decline indicates a sudden loss of market conviction regarding high valuation targets, suggesting an immediate technical correction. | 6 hours ago |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on September 14? |
↓
-94.7%
|
38% | $QQQ | The significant negative swing reflects systemic risk aversion triggered by crypto market corrections. Bet on continued tech rotation out of high-risk assets and into short-term weakness in major indices. | 33 minutes ago |