Recent Swings
Updated: 3 minutes ago • Threshold: ≥5%
Tag Filter:
| Market | Δ Prob | Conf | Ticker | Trade Idea | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? AGG (2) |
↓
-35.2%
|
78% | $SPY | The significant pricing of Fed easing risk suggests elevated macro uncertainty and potential overreaction/dip-buying opportunity in the broader equity index. | 19 hours ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? |
↑
+6.2%
|
57% | $SPY | The decrease in the probability of a rate hike suggests improving macro sentiment and an anticipated shift toward dovish monetary policy, which is supportive of equity valuations. | 48 minutes ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? AGG (3) |
↑
+46.9%
|
55% | $QQQ | Bitcoin's strong underlying macro narrative and ETF inflows signal elevated global risk appetite and capital flight into digital assets, supporting major tech growth plays. | 18 minutes ago |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? AGG (4) |
↑
+1.1%
|
51% | $XLY | A lower probability of multiple rate cuts suggests 'higher for longer' rate expectations, which favors cyclicals and consumer spending over pure growth. | 38 minutes ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 14? AGG (4) |
↓
-35.2%
|
46% | $QQQ | The strong negative swing against the high BTC range suggests resistance and potential profit-taking, indicating a bearish reversal in broader growth assets. | 23 minutes ago |
| Will Solana reach $80 on June 13? AGG (3) |
↓
-88.6%
|
42% | $SPY | Severe over-extension and anticipated failure of high-beta, speculative crypto assets (Solana) causes structural capital rotation into liquid, broad market indices. | 48 minutes ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 14? AGG (2) |
↑
+116.3%
|
42% | $NVDA | The swing's dramatic shift from 4% to 0% suggests potential over-sold sentiment (capitulation) in the crypto cycle. We are running a contrarian reversal play, banking on a broader risk-on rebound correlated with continued AI infrastructure demand. | 23 minutes ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 13? AGG (2) |
↓
-26.5%
|
42% | $SPY | High volume bearish moves in BTC suggest a major macro liquidity cycle reversal, driving broad risk appetite (risk-on) into global equity markets. | 33 minutes ago |
| Will the price of Solana be above $110 on June 15? AGG (2) |
↑
+89.2%
|
42% | $NVDA | The strong bullish pricing suggests high risk-on sentiment and continued capital flow into high-beta growth tech, mirroring crypto momentum. | 1 hour ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on June 13? AGG (2) |
↑
+458.0%
|
42% | $QQQ | Momentum play capitalizing on the rapid, speculative risk-on capital flow into crypto assets, which correlates strongly with high-beta technology sector performance. | 43 minutes ago |
| Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? |
↑
+100.0%
|
42% | $META | The prediction suggests massive future growth in social and tech IPOs. $META remains the strongest proxy for network-effect giants and continued AI-driven user engagement. | 6 hours ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 14? |
↑
+100.0%
|
40% | $QQQ | Extreme bullish sentiment driven by speculative risk-on appetite across digital assets and technology sectors. | 43 minutes ago |
| Will Microsoft have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026? |
↑
+100.0%
|
40% | $MSFT | MSFT's enterprise AI integration (Copilot, Azure) promises sustained, structural revenue growth, overcoming short-term negative sentiment. | 3 hours ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,100 on June 15? |
↑
+100.0%
|
40% | $QQQ | Betting on a broader 'risk-off' correction in high-growth tech stocks following a potential over-extension or cooling of speculative crypto cycles. | 10 hours ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 13? AGG (2) |
↓
-93.4%
|
40% | $QQQ | The severe negative swing indicates potential capitulation or an overreaction in crypto risk sentiment. A highly liquid tech proxy like QQQ is likely to revert to mean, capturing the subsequent risk-on bounce. | 6 hours ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? |
↓
-96.4%
|
39% | $QQQ | The recent contraction in crypto sentiment suggests short-term overheating concerns. However, the long-term secular growth trend driven by digital transformation and institutional adoption (key themes for $QQQ holdings) provides a strong foundational bounce opportunity. | 6 hours ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? AGG (2) |
↓
-89.6%
|
39% | $QQQ | The large positive swing suggests high risk-on sentiment and strong momentum in the digital asset space, which typically correlates with growth tech indices like the Nasdaq-100. | 6 hours ago |
| Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 13? |
↓
-97.1%
|
39% | $NVDA | The extreme positive swing in the crypto market indicates elevated risk appetite and momentum flow, which typically favors high-beta, AI-adjacent mega-cap tech stocks. | 6 hours ago |
| Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 13? |
↓
-96.7%
|
39% | $NVDA | The extreme swing suggests significant profit-taking and high volatility in risk-on assets (crypto). Betting on a V-shaped recovery in high-beta AI infrastructure leaders after the sharp drop. | 6 hours ago |
| Will Solana reach $70 on June 12? |
↓
-95.5%
|
38% | $NVDA | Extreme volatility in speculative digital assets (crypto) often precedes a wider technological cycle recovery. $NVDA acts as a high-beta proxy for infrastructure demand. | 18 hours ago |
| Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on June 14? |
↓
-95.2%
|
38% | $QQQ | Extreme bearish swings in crypto assets often signal broader risk-off sentiment, suggesting institutional profit-taking or systemic liquidity fears affecting high-beta growth tech. | 16 hours ago |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? |
↑
+8.3%
|
36% | $SPY | Macro-cycle bet reflecting significant institutional capital inflow into Bitcoin (ETF adoption), signaling a durable, long-term risk-on environment for global equities. | 9 hours ago |
| Will Solana reach $90 June 8-14? |
↓
-90.0%
|
36% | $QQQ | The market pricing in extremely low probability for altcoin targets signals significant crypto contagion fears and capitulation, forcing risk-off selling pressure on high-beta tech assets. | 3 hours ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? |
↓
-88.9%
|
36% | $QQQ | The market's severe pricing against the $65k target suggests an overreaction or temporary dip in risk appetite. A structural rebound in general tech risk assets ($QQQ) is anticipated. | 18 hours ago |
| Will XRP reach $1.30 on June 13? |
↑
+80.0%
|
32% | $SPY | The continuous failure of targets across major crypto assets (XRP) points to systemic weakness, making traditional US equities a relative value haven. | 2 hours ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? AGG (2) |
↑
+60.5%
|
30% | $NVDA | AI sector exuberance driven by foundational model valuations (Anthropic), making chip infrastructure a primary play. | 8 minutes ago |
| Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.60 on June 16? |
↑
+72.7%
|
29% | $NVDA | The sharp negative swing on crypto indicates potential mean reversion and risk-on capital rotation, fueling speculative tech plays. | 8 minutes ago |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? |
↓
-72.6%
|
29% | $LMT | Despite speculative disappointment regarding hyper-growth valuations, sustained geopolitical tensions guarantee strong secular demand for defense/aerospace. | 1 hour ago |
| Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 15? |
↑
+66.7%
|
27% | $QQQ | The large positive swing suggests strong momentum and risk-on sentiment, correlating with broader tech sector outperformance. | 1 hour ago |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on June 15? AGG (2) |
↓
-47.6%
|
25% | $QQQ | The highly negative swing suggests significant bearish pressure, but the target implies a strong cyclical reversal. We are betting on a general risk-on sentiment rebound, correlating tech growth (Nasdaq) with crypto cycle recovery. | 28 minutes ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 16? |
↓
-53.8%
|
22% | $QQQ | The rapid decrease in the expected probability for Bitcoin suggests strong profit-taking or a risk-off sentiment dominating the crypto cycle. We are shorting a tech-heavy proxy to capture general cooling enthusiasm. | 3 minutes ago |